Company mergers are at an all-time high, causing brands to disappear or become the entity of another. Every year 24/7 Wall St. puts out a list of 10 American brands that they predict will disappear. Companies entailing retail, broadband, photo-sharing, food packaging, social media, independent airlines, and candy makers are just a few named to no longer exist in the United States within the next year. 24/7 Wall St. continues to use a useful methodology in deciding which brands they see disappearing in the next year. They make their predictions based off of some major criteria including:
- Declining sales and losses.
- Disclosures by the parent of the brand that it might go out of business.
- Rising costs that are unlikely to be recouped through higher prices.
- Companies that are sold.
- Companies that go into bankruptcy.
- Companies that have lost the great majority of their customers.
- Operations with withering market share.
Based off of 24/7 Wall St.’s criteria I have come up with some questions to explore each disappearing brands possible reasoning for banishment:
- Why are they going under?
- What did they do right/wrong?
- How could this be avoided?
- What could have been done better?
A significantly fast growing retail company specializing in women’s athletic apparel was one the first predicated to disappear by 2015. On March 18, 2013 the company recalled a large amount of yoga pants because they were too sheer, resulting the pants to be too revealing. This sparked the beginning of the end for Lululemon. Management changed, revenue dropped off, and there was a collapse of its share price.
CEO Christine Day lost her job in June 2013, and Founder and Chairman Chip Wilson announced him stepping down in December of last year. The company’s revenue went up only slightly from $346 million to $385 million, net income collapsed from $47 million to $19 million, and stock went down 50% from its peak set early June 2013.
Despite Lululemon’s troubles, Chip Wilson has become the potential leader of a buyout to take the company private; Wilson believes he can find a private equity backer. I believe Lululemon has a chance to re-invent themselves and assure customers that their products will be made of quality materials, regaining the trust of the consumer.
A perfect example of a disappearing brand being sold and bought up by another giant. AT&T has already bought up DirecTV, thus extending its reach into American households. Although, AT&T’s U-verse product has only reached 5.7 million customers compared to DirectTV’s 38 million.
AT&T has viciously fought for the merger as the government blocked their buyout of T-mobile. Both companies are winning in the deal with a $49 billion dollar buyout. Customers are both worried and excited as some believe the prices will go up and the new power company will be able to have more control over popular programming. Others believe the merger will lower customer costs.
Only time will tell whether or not this merger will truly benefit customers or if AT&T management will have more control then deemed necessary.
III. Hillshire Brands
Ball Park hot dogs, Jimmy Dean sausages…feeling nostalgic? Well, Hillshire Brands package these top-selling products. Hillshire Brands planned to buy Pinnacle Foods for 4.23 billion but the agreement sparked a bidding war between the largest food packagers in the U.S., Pilgrim’s Pride and Tyson Foods.
On July 2nd Tyson Foods and Hillshire Brands announced their definitive agreement where Tyson Foods will acquire all outstanding shares of Hillshire Brands for $63/share.
Addicted to Farmville, or annoyed by it? Either way, creator company Zynga turned out to be the single greatest social media failure to date. Facebook cut off the company in 2012, leaving Zynga unable to reach the 1 billion users and making it harder to match its first hit and promote new games.
The company moved into a mobile platform, unable to create its own hits, it acquired popular titles such as Digital, creator of Candy Crush.
Does Zynga have enough demand and users to stay afloat? In their first quarter of 2014 they were down almost 50% to 28 million, compared to the 52 million in the first quarter of 2013. Since early March of this year their stock went down 45% making it a target for buyouts.
V. Alaska Air
Alaska Air Group Inc., an independent airline in the U.S. is one of the few left that hasn’t been bought up by larger airlines. There has been some speculation that Delta Airlines might buy Alaska Air for its West Coast routes. This rumor has caused an increase in Alaska Air’s shares.
Despite the rumors of Delta Airlines possible buyout, Alaska Air does well on the West Coast, being busiest in Seattle, Salt Lake City, and Los Angeles. Alaska’s revenue has risen steadily over the past five years and often ranks highest in customer satisfaction among carriers. This has begun to challenge carriers on the East Coast to step up their services. Only time will tell how long Alaska Airlines has to remain a top-rate independent airline in the U.S.
VI. Russell Stover
The third largest candy maker in America may be selling for as much as $1 billion. Once publically traded, the company is now private. Stover makes about $600 million in revenue with10% operating margins.
A rumored potential buyer is Hershey, with a market cap of $21.6 billion and revenue of $7.1 billion, Hershey would have no trouble swallowing up Russell Stover. Some other potential buyers include Kraft, Mars and Nestle.
Turns out Lindt & Sprüngli went and bought out Russell Stover July 14 of this year. Now Lindt is the number three chocolate maker in the U.S.
Shutterfly continues to dominate the online photo printing industry, but falls short on mobile where Instagram, Facebook, and Dropbox are overshadowing Shutterfly. With revenue rising 22% year over year to more than $783 million, Shutterfly still remains a small business.
Shutterfly’s shares fell 18% over the last year, with its shares down it has become a target in the online sharing and storing business with limited exposure to paying customers. Amazon and Apple are possible tech companies suitable for buying up Shutterfly. If Shutterfly was able to reach its paying customers through printed photos, cards, and calendars maybe there would be a bigger chance for success.
VIII. Time Warner Cable
Time Warner Cable had accepted a deal from Comcast for $45.2 billion at the beginning of this year. This deal would create the largest cable company in the U.S. with a total of 30 million subscribers. Many subscribers, wireless carriers, and online video providers such as Netflix, and advocacy groups such as freepress.net look at this merger as a monopoly which will result in higher rates for customers.
The merger’s biggest hurdle has been dealing with the federal government. The Justice Dept. and Federal Trade Commission will be assessing the deal, while several members of Congress have expressed their concern of unfairness to the consumer.
Many experts predict Time Warner Cable to be gone by the end of this year, but there is always a possibility the government won’t let the mega-merger follow through.
BlackBerry is running on its last leg, having terrible sales on the Z10 and Q10, BlackBerry outsourced its hardware to Foxconn to focus on its software. In 2008, the company was operating as Research In Motion, having 19.5% of the global smartphone market. Now, due to the boom of the Apple iPhone and Google’s Android, the number fell to less than 1% by the end of 2013.
BlackBerry is seen as unable to exist on its own, with revenue dropping to $966 million from $3.1 billion in the same quarter the year before. By the end of 2013, BlackBerry was sold to Fairfax Financial Holdings, a group that already held about a 10% stake in the company.
The retail company that has always competed with Abercrombie & Fitch and American Eagle Outfitters is last on the chopping block. Seems like the whole casual clothing enterprise for teenagers is beginning to crumble as teens are choosing more inexpensive retailers that are more fashion-forward like Forever 21 and H&M.
Aeropostale is the retailer is the most trouble out of its counterparts, with revenue falling 12% to $396 million from the same period as last year. Aeropostale’s stock price dropped by more than 85% in the past five years. The company announced it had saved $150 million in financing from private equity firm Sycamore Partners, which should keep it afloat until the end of this year.
– Samantha Rijos, Social Media Marketing Coordinator